As November settles in, temperatures drop, and—surprise—your power bill is about to go up. The average U.S. electricity price hovers around 16.8 cents per kilowatt-hour (kWh), but there’s huge variation. Rates range from 33 cents per kWh in California to a low of 11.8 cents in Louisiana. Knowing your local rate could save you from winter sticker shock, so here’s the lowdown on November prices, what’s coming in December and January, and some tips to keep your costs down.‍

Current electricity costs

Electricity prices aren’t the same everywhere, and if you’re in a high-cost state, you’re likely feeling the pinch already. Hawaii has the highest rate, currently 32.76 cents per kWh (ouch), up from 30.45 cents a year ago. Alaska, Connecticut, and Massachusetts are also high on the list, with California close behind.

If you’re wondering what’s behind these rates and how they’re set, here’s a quick rundown: Electricity rates are the price you pay per kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity used. The rate is influenced by multiple factors: demand (which skyrockets when it’s hot or cold), the cost of producing or buying electricity, and whether your state is regulated (where utilities set rates) or deregulated (where customers can shop for better rates).

Right now, the average U.S. price is around 16.8 cents per kWh, but there’s huge variation—from 33 cents per kWh in California to just under 12 cents in Louisiana. Meanwhile, states like Washington and Louisiana keep prices low, with rates under 10 cents per kWh. While these states have seen small price hikes, they’re still way more affordable for winter energy use. Knowing your local rate can be a game changer for managing your winter energy bill

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These rates have also all gone up since this time last year, showing an ongoing rise in US electricity prices. Here's a quick look at some of the biggest lifts in rates across the country since last November.
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How much energy can I expect to use in November?

As temperatures drop, household energy use changes, especially as people begin to heat their homes more. According to the EIA, the average U.S. residential electricity consumption in November 2023 was approximately 877 kWh. In warmer states like Louisiana and Arizona, usage soared beyond 1,100 kWh, while California and Alaska saw closer to 550 kWh. It’s clear: colder temps don’t always equal higher bills if local climate keeps demand low.

Let’s take a closer look at typical usage patterns in Massachusetts so you can better anticipate your energy needs.

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Looking ahead: December and January

With more demand comes higher prices. Expect rates to edge up in December and January as people crank up the heat. In January, average household energy use is likely to exceed 1,250 kWh in the coldest states. Meanwhile, in high-cost states, prices could hit jaw-dropping levels—California could near 34 cents per kWh. But if you’re in a lower-cost state, you’re probably looking at under 12.5 cents per kWh, making winter bills less brutal (but still higher than right now).

Projected High- and Low-Cost States for January:

• Highest: Hawaii (44 cents), California (33.8 cents), Massachusetts (29.75 cents), Connecticut (28.8 cents), Alaska (26.5 cents)
• Lowest: Louisiana (12.1 cents), Washington (12.05 cents), Idaho (12.3 cents), North Dakota (13.05 cents), Nebraska (12.55 cents)

Estimating your winter power bill

Wondering what your bill will look like? Here’s a quick formula:

• Monthly Bill = Average Usage (kWh) × Rate (¢/kWh) ÷ 100

If you’re in a high-cost state with heavy usage, you could be staring down a bill over $500. Knowing your rate and keeping an eye on usage can help. Here is what you can likely expect to spend on the supply portion of your power bill this month in each US state:

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Where you can save this winter

Deregulated energy markets offer a unique opportunity to reduce winter bills by locking in lower rates. These supply rates are available through third-party providers and vary by region. Here's an overview of some of the third-party fixed rates available how you might save based on your location:

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Projected savings on competitive rates (November 2024)

Rates available as of 11/12/2024

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This winter could see one of the highest seasonal spikes in energy costs in recent years, making preparation key. Securing a competitive rate, managing heating efficiency, and monitoring monthly usage can help households balance comfort with affordability. With prices and usage anticipated to remain high into February, a proactive approach will be crucial for managing energy costs through the colder months.